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UBER

stock54Aggressive

Uber Technologies

Industrials

$72.00
Mkt cap $151.20B

Snapshot

Global mobility and delivery platform that recently turned profitable and free-cash-flow positive. Improving economics, still cyclical and competitive.

Rev 10Y CAGRi
35.0%
ROICi
12.0%
ROE
22.0%
FCF Margini
14.0%
Op. Margin
8.0%
Debt/Equityi
0.6
Div Yield
0.0%
Div Streaki
—
Payout
—
Shares 5Yi
+3.0%
Insider Own.
3.0%
Insider Activity
neutral

Long-Term Total Return

i

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

UBER6.2×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

i
Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatilityi
38%
Betai
2.30
Max Drawdowni
-53%
1Y Return
+20%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

i

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000 →
Bull
31%/yr FCF growth, exit 26× FCF
+31.8%/yr+297%$39,741
Base
17%/yr FCF growth, exit 22× FCF
+14.8%/yr+99%$19,901
Bear
4%/yr FCF growth, exit 15× FCF
-6.2%/yr-27%$7,265

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 25× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

i

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

i
3 / 5
Network effectsScale advantagesBrand

Liquidity network effects across mobility and delivery, with scale and a strong brand; autonomy is both a risk and an opportunity.

Reinvestment runway

Mobility recovery/expansion, advertising, and membership (Uber One).

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Regulatory/driver-classification risk
  • Autonomous-vehicle disruption could cut both ways
  • Competition and incentive intensity

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell UBER.