TXN
stock52ModerateTexas Instruments
Information Technology
Snapshot
Analog and embedded semiconductors. Manufacturing scale, a huge catalog of long-lived products, and disciplined capital returns.
Long-Term Total Return
Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.
Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.
Risk Profile
Balanced growth with manageable swings.
2–5 Year Outlook
Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.
Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.
| Scenario | Annualized | Total return | $10,000 → |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull 12%/yr FCF growth, exit 59× FCF | +14.6%/yr | +98% | $19,781 |
| Base 3%/yr FCF growth, exit 50× FCF | +3.5%/yr | +19% | $11,884 |
| Bear 0%/yr FCF growth, exit 33× FCF | -5.8%/yr | -26% | $7,400 |
Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 56× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.
Technical Indicators
Objective price signals — moving averages, RSI, 52-week range — to interpret, not act on.
Illustrative daily prices (last ~9 months) with 50- and 200-day moving averages.
- Mixed versus its moving averages — no clear trend.
- RSI 20 — in oversold territory (weak, but it can keep falling).
- 17% below its 52-week high.
- MACD is below its signal line (negative momentum).
Technical indicators are objective descriptions of price behavior, not signals to act on. They are computed from illustrative sample prices and say nothing about a company's value. Not investment advice.
Fundamental Trends
Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.
10-year fundamental trend charts
Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.
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Valuation Context
Valuation context
See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.
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Moat Analysis
300mm analog manufacturing gives a structural cost advantage; designed-in chips with long lifecycles create durable, sticky revenue.
Rising chip content in autos and industrials supports long-term demand once the current capex cycle digests.
Risk Factors
What could impair the long-term thesis.
- Heavy capex cycle pressuring near-term FCF
- Semiconductor cyclicality
- Full valuation
Hypothetical Growth
What a past investment would be worth today.
Hypothetical growth calculator
See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.
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Forward Scenario Modeler
Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.
Forward scenario modeler
Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.
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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell TXN.