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SNOW

stock56Aggressive

Snowflake Inc.

Information Technology

$175.00
Mkt cap $58.63B

Snapshot

Cloud data platform. Very high growth and net retention, but thin GAAP profitability and a demanding valuation.

Rev 10Y CAGRi
55.0%
ROICi
4.0%
ROE
5.0%
FCF Margini
25.0%
Op. Margin
-5.0%
Debt/Equityi
0.1
Div Yield
0.0%
Div Streaki
—
Payout
—
Shares 5Yi
+6.0%
Insider Own.
6.0%
Insider Activity
net selling

Long-Term Total Return

i

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

SNOW12.2×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

i
Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatilityi
50%
Betai
2.30
Max Drawdowni
-70%
1Y Return
+18%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

i

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000 →
Bull
47%/yr FCF growth, exit 65× FCF
+48.5%/yr+623%$72,319
Base
30%/yr FCF growth, exit 56× FCF
+26.9%/yr+229%$32,905
Bear
12%/yr FCF growth, exit 37× FCF
+1.2%/yr+6%$10,621

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 62× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

i

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

i
3 / 5
Switching costsScale advantages

Data gravity and consumption-based stickiness drive expansion; a strong platform, but heavy stock-based compensation and rich pricing temper the case.

Reinvestment runway

Enterprise data consolidation and AI/data workloads.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Thin GAAP profitability
  • Consumption model exposes it to cloud-spend cuts
  • High dilution from stock comp
  • Premium valuation

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell SNOW.