PLTR
stock62AggressivePalantir Technologies
Information Technology
Snapshot
Data-analytics and AI software for governments and enterprises. Rapid growth and expanding margins, but an extremely rich valuation leaves little room for error.
Long-Term Total Return
Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.
Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.
Risk Profile
Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.
2–5 Year Outlook
Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.
Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.
| Scenario | Annualized | Total return | $10,000 → |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull 44%/yr FCF growth, exit 226× FCF | +45.1%/yr | +543% | $64,339 |
| Base 23%/yr FCF growth, exit 193× FCF | +20.8%/yr | +158% | $25,752 |
| Bear 3%/yr FCF growth, exit 129× FCF | -6.9%/yr | -30% | $6,989 |
Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 215× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.
Technical Indicators
Objective price signals — moving averages, RSI, 52-week range — to interpret, not act on.
Illustrative daily prices (last ~9 months) with 50- and 200-day moving averages.
- Trading above its 50- and 200-day moving averages — a textbook uptrend.
- RSI 54 — neutral (neither overbought nor oversold).
- 5% below its 52-week high.
- MACD is below its signal line (negative momentum).
Technical indicators are objective descriptions of price behavior, not signals to act on. They are computed from illustrative sample prices and say nothing about a company's value. Not investment advice.
Fundamental Trends
Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.
10-year fundamental trend charts
Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.
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Valuation Context
Valuation context
See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.
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Moat Analysis
Deeply embedded data platforms create switching costs, and an AI-ops lead is real — but the valuation is among the richest in software, pricing in years of flawless execution.
Commercial AI adoption and government expansion; large addressable market if execution holds.
Risk Factors
What could impair the long-term thesis.
- Extreme valuation — high downside if growth slows
- Heavy stock-based compensation
- Government-contract concentration and lumpiness
- Very large drawdowns
Hypothetical Growth
What a past investment would be worth today.
Hypothetical growth calculator
See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.
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Forward Scenario Modeler
Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.
Forward scenario modeler
Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.
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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell PLTR.