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PEP

stock35Conservative

PepsiCo Inc.

Consumer Staples

$150.00
Mkt cap $206.25B
Log paper trade

Snapshot

Snacks (Frito-Lay) and beverages. Frito-Lay's dominance in salty snacks pairs with a global beverage business; reliable dividend grower.

Rev 10Y CAGR
4.0%
ROIC
15.0%
ROE
50.0%
FCF Margin
9.0%
Op. Margin
15.0%
Debt/Equity
2.2
Div Yield
3.4%
Div Streak
52y
Payout
67%
Shares 5Y
-1.0%
Insider Own.
0.1%
Insider Activity
neutral

Long-Term Total Return

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

PEP2.3×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

Conservative

Lower volatility, steadier — capital preservation and income.

Volatility
10%
Beta
0.60
Max Drawdown
-14%
1Y Return
+5%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000
Bull
11%/yr FCF growth, exit 28× FCF
+13.7%/yr+90%$18,998
Base
6%/yr FCF growth, exit 24× FCF
+6.1%/yr+35%$13,463
Bear
1%/yr FCF growth, exit 16× FCF
-4.7%/yr-21%$7,852

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 27× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Technical Indicators

Objective price signals — moving averages, RSI, 52-week range — to interpret, not act on.

DowntrendRSI 449% off 52W high
PEP price50-day avg200-day avg

Illustrative daily prices (last ~9 months) with 50- and 200-day moving averages.

52W High
$165.72
52W Low
$143.38
50-day avg
$147.95
200-day avg
$150.74
  • Below its 200-day moving average — in a longer-term downtrend.
  • RSI 44 — neutral (neither overbought nor oversold).
  • 9% below its 52-week high.
  • MACD is below its signal line (negative momentum).

Technical indicators are objective descriptions of price behavior, not signals to act on. They are computed from illustrative sample prices and say nothing about a company's value. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

$9/mo or $84/yr · cancel anytime

Valuation Context

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

$9/mo or $84/yr · cancel anytime

Moat Analysis

4 / 5
BrandScale advantagesCost advantage

Frito-Lay's distribution and shelf dominance is a powerful moat; a broad brand portfolio provides pricing power and resilience.

Reinvestment runway

Snacking growth and international expansion sustain mid-single-digit growth.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Health/regulatory pressure on snacks and soda
  • Input-cost inflation
  • Slow growth

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell PEP.