MELI

stock62Aggressive

MercadoLibre, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary

$1,900.00

Mkt cap $96.90B

Log paper trade

Snapshot

Latin America's leading e-commerce and fintech platform. Rapid growth in a high-potential, higher-risk region.

Rev 10Y CAGR

35.0%

ROIC

22.0%

ROE

40.0%

FCF Margin

12.0%

Op. Margin

12.0%

Debt/Equity

1.2

Div Yield

0.0%

Div Streak

—

Payout

—

Shares 5Y

+1.0%

Insider Own.

8.0%

Insider Activity

neutral

Long-Term Total Return

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

MELI13.6×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatility

42%

Beta

2.30

Max Drawdown

-59%

1Y Return

+41%

momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

Scenario	Annualized	Total return	$10,000 →
Bull 42%/yr FCF growth, exit 40× FCF	+43.4%/yr	+506%	$60,622
Base 27%/yr FCF growth, exit 35× FCF	+24.6%/yr	+201%	$30,087
Bear 13%/yr FCF growth, exit 23× FCF	+1.7%/yr	+9%	$10,860

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 39× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Technical Indicators

Objective price signals — moving averages, RSI, 52-week range — to interpret, not act on.

UptrendRSI 519% off 52W high

MELI price50-day avg200-day avg

Illustrative daily prices (last ~9 months) with 50- and 200-day moving averages.

52W High

$2,085.74

52W Low

$1,018.43

50-day avg

$1,920.18

200-day avg

$1,716.86

Trading above its 50- and 200-day moving averages — a textbook uptrend.
RSI 51 — neutral (neither overbought nor oversold).
9% below its 52-week high.
MACD is above its signal line (positive momentum).

Technical indicators are objective descriptions of price behavior, not signals to act on. They are computed from illustrative sample prices and say nothing about a company's value. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

4 / 5

Network effectsScale advantagesBrand

A dominant two-sided marketplace plus a fast-growing fintech arm (Mercado Pago) and logistics network — a genuine regional flywheel, with emerging-market risk attached.

Reinvestment runway

Low e-commerce and digital-payment penetration across Latin America.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

Emerging-market currency and political risk
Premium valuation
Credit-book and competition risk

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell MELI.