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MELI

stock62Aggressive

MercadoLibre, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary

$1,900.00
Mkt cap $96.90B

Snapshot

Latin America's leading e-commerce and fintech platform. Rapid growth in a high-potential, higher-risk region.

Rev 10Y CAGRi
35.0%
ROICi
22.0%
ROE
40.0%
FCF Margini
12.0%
Op. Margin
12.0%
Debt/Equityi
1.2
Div Yield
0.0%
Div Streaki
—
Payout
—
Shares 5Yi
+1.0%
Insider Own.
8.0%
Insider Activity
neutral

Long-Term Total Return

i

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

MELI13.6×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

i
Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatilityi
42%
Betai
2.30
Max Drawdowni
-59%
1Y Return
+41%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

i

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000 →
Bull
42%/yr FCF growth, exit 40× FCF
+43.4%/yr+506%$60,622
Base
27%/yr FCF growth, exit 35× FCF
+24.6%/yr+201%$30,087
Bear
13%/yr FCF growth, exit 23× FCF
+1.7%/yr+9%$10,860

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 39× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

i

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

i
4 / 5
Network effectsScale advantagesBrand

A dominant two-sided marketplace plus a fast-growing fintech arm (Mercado Pago) and logistics network — a genuine regional flywheel, with emerging-market risk attached.

Reinvestment runway

Low e-commerce and digital-payment penetration across Latin America.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Emerging-market currency and political risk
  • Premium valuation
  • Credit-book and competition risk

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell MELI.