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BND

etf66Conservative

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

US Total Bond

$73.00
AUM $320.00B
Log paper trade

Snapshot

Tracks the broad US investment-grade bond market (Treasuries, agency, corporate). A core ballast holding to dampen equity volatility.

Expense Ratio
0.03%
10Y Return
1.5%
annualized
15Y Return
2.2%
annualized
20Y Return
3.2%
annualized
Yield
4.2%
Holdings
11,000
AUM
$320.00B
Turnover
35%
Tracking Err.
0.06%
Structure
Passive

Long-Term Total Return

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

BND1.3×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

Conservative

Lower volatility, steadier — capital preservation and income.

Volatility
5%
Beta
0.30
Max Drawdown
-7%
1Y Return
-7%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000
Bull
6%/yr total return
+5.5%/yr+31%$13,070
Base
2%/yr total return (≈ long-run trend)
+1.5%/yr+8%$10,773
Bear
-4%/yr total return
-3.5%/yr-16%$8,368

Projected from the fund's long-run total-return trend, widened by its volatility.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Technical Indicators

Objective price signals — moving averages, RSI, 52-week range — to interpret, not act on.

DowntrendRSI 465% off 52W high
BND price50-day avg200-day avg

Illustrative daily prices (last ~9 months) with 50- and 200-day moving averages.

52W High
$76.95
52W Low
$72.89
50-day avg
$73.65
200-day avg
$74.74
  • Below its 200-day moving average — in a longer-term downtrend.
  • RSI 46 — neutral (neither overbought nor oversold).
  • 5% below its 52-week high.
  • MACD is below its signal line (negative momentum).

Technical indicators are objective descriptions of price behavior, not signals to act on. They are computed from illustrative sample prices and say nothing about a company's value. Not investment advice.

Fund Facts

Expense ratio
0.03%
Lower compounds to more wealth over decades
30-day yield
4.2%
Holdings
11,000
Turnover
35%
Proxy for tax efficiency
Tracking error
0.06%
Structure
Passive index
Fund age 18y

Sector Exposure

  • Treasury47%
  • Corporate27%
  • MBS/Agency21%
  • Other5%

Geographic Exposure

  • United States100%

Moat Analysis

4 / 5

Diversification and stability rather than growth — its role is to reduce portfolio volatility and provide income, especially near and in retirement.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Interest-rate (duration) risk
  • Low long-run real return
  • Inflation erodes fixed coupons

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

$9/mo or $84/yr · cancel anytime

Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

$9/mo or $84/yr · cancel anytime

Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell BND.