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AMD

stock52Aggressive

Advanced Micro Devices

Information Technology

$130.00
Mkt cap $210.60B

Snapshot

Designs CPUs and GPUs competing in PCs, data centers, and AI accelerators. Cyclical semiconductor with strong growth optionality and execution risk.

Rev 10Y CAGRi
22.0%
ROICi
12.0%
ROE
8.0%
FCF Margini
12.0%
Op. Margin
12.0%
Debt/Equityi
0.1
Div Yield
0.0%
Div Streaki
Payout
Shares 5Yi
+6.0%
Insider Own.
0.5%
Insider Activity
neutral

Long-Term Total Return

i

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

AMD8.8×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

i
Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatilityi
45%
Betai
2.30
Max Drawdowni
-63%
1Y Return
+15%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

i

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000
Bull
39%/yr FCF growth, exit 68× FCF
+40.5%/yr+448%$54,778
Base
23%/yr FCF growth, exit 58× FCF
+20.8%/yr+158%$25,752
Bear
8%/yr FCF growth, exit 39× FCF
-2.8%/yr-13%$8,674

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 65× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

i

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

i
3 / 5
Intangibles / IPScale advantages

A credible #2 in CPUs and a growing AI-accelerator challenger; design wins and chiplet leadership help, but it trails NVIDIA in AI and faces deep cyclicality.

Reinvestment runway

AI accelerators, data-center share gains, and an eventual PC upgrade cycle.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Semiconductor cyclicality
  • Trails NVIDIA in AI; execution-dependent
  • Valuation sensitive to AI sentiment

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell AMD.