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ABNB

stock75Aggressive

Airbnb, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary

$135.00
Mkt cap $86.40B

Snapshot

Global short-term-rental marketplace. Strong brand and free cash flow, with growth that's sensitive to travel cycles and regulation.

Rev 10Y CAGRi
28.0%
ROICi
20.0%
ROE
30.0%
FCF Margini
38.0%
Op. Margin
23.0%
Debt/Equityi
0.3
Div Yield
0.0%
Div Streaki
—
Payout
—
Shares 5Yi
+2.0%
Insider Own.
9.0%
Insider Activity
net selling

Long-Term Total Return

i

Decade-scale view, dividends reinvested, vs. the S&P 500.

ABNB7.2×S&P 5002.4×

Growth of $10,000 invested at the start of the period, total return (price + reinvested dividends). Illustrative.

Risk Profile

i
Aggressive

Higher growth potential with larger drawdowns and uncertainty.

Volatilityi
40%
Betai
2.30
Max Drawdowni
-56%
1Y Return
+20%
momentum

2–5 Year Outlook

i

Hypothetical bear / base / bull scenarios — not a prediction.

Hypothetical 5-year scenarios for $10,000 invested today.

ScenarioAnnualizedTotal return$10,000 →
Bull
30%/yr FCF growth, exit 21× FCF
+30.9%/yr+284%$38,390
Base
16%/yr FCF growth, exit 18× FCF
+13.2%/yr+86%$18,579
Bear
2%/yr FCF growth, exit 12× FCF
-8.3%/yr-35%$6,496

Projects free cash flow forward and applies an exit valuation multiple (current ≈ 20× FCF). Dividends added at the current yield.

Hypothetical scenarios, not a forecast. These ranges are modeled from illustrative assumptions about growth and valuation — not predictions, price targets, or a recommendation to buy or sell. Real outcomes vary widely and can be negative. Not investment advice.

Fundamental Trends

Ten-plus years of the figures that drive long-term value.

10-year fundamental trend charts

Track revenue, earnings, free cash flow, ROIC, share count, and dividends over a decade-plus — a Premium research tool.

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Valuation Context

i

Valuation context

See P/E, P/FCF, and EV/EBITDA against historical and sector medians with Premium.

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Moat Analysis

i
4 / 5
Network effectsBrand

A two-sided network and a verb-status brand; high free-cash-flow margins. Regulation and travel cyclicality are the main constraints.

Reinvestment runway

Travel growth, new-market expansion, and experiences/services add-ons.

Risk Factors

What could impair the long-term thesis.

  • Travel-cycle sensitivity
  • Regulatory crackdowns on short-term rentals
  • Slowing growth at scale

Hypothetical Growth

What a past investment would be worth today.

Hypothetical growth calculator

See what an investment made years ago would be worth today, vs. the S&P 500 — a Premium tool.

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Forward Scenario Modeler

Project a starting investment across multi-decade horizons.

Forward scenario modeler

Model conservative, base, and optimistic returns across 10–40 year horizons with Premium.

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Data as of 2025-12-31. Illustrative sample data for research & education — not live market data, and not a recommendation to buy or sell ABNB.